Posts Tagged Economics

Amazon vs Macmillan vs You

OK so Amazon’s move against Macmillan was seriously ham-handed and Amazon is still caught up in their own undershorts. Some Amazonians deserve some serious reprimands, this is just not the way these things are handled. Now Amazon has created even more problems for itself.

That said — we are talking about 4-5 days of inconvenience Amazon has caused readers and authors. Stupid but fixable.

As Charles points out, Macmillan is trying to put the screws to all of us big time and for the long run. They are grabbing for more dollars out of out pockets at a time when book costs are heading down. Now, if Macmillan was passing all this on to authors, I might be OK with it, but I suspect it is being absorbed by a bunch of corporate suits.

Who is our real friend here? Shame on Amazon for being so clumsy, but greater shame on Macmillan.

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Grabbag of interesting articles on math, econ, science, design, web

No theme here other than “stuff I happened across recently”

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Interesting reads

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The big picture — VC Math, Life Threats, Rhythms

Random posts that have caught my eye recently:

  • The VC Math Problem — excellent discussion of the “macroeconomics” of the VC asset class.
  • What to fear. The truth about what is going to kill you. The sensationalist news stories every night on random acts of violence and tragedy are scary, but they aren’t the threat.
  • The Rhythms of My Life. One guy’s methodology for examining his life and how he lives it. Not the right methodology for everyone, but everyone probably needs some methodology.

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Buying Risky Assets | The Big Picture

Buying Risky Assets | The Big Picture. — cogent picture explaining the program.

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Bernanke Pushes the Button | The Big Picture

Bernanke Pushes the Button | The Big Picture.
  • “The prospect of hundreds of billions of newly minted dollars coursing through the global financial system caused currency traders to thrash the greenback by almost 3%.”
  • ” The Fed is “now bringing out all the ammo in its arsenal”, according to Rosenberg.”
  • “And, for those who think the time is ripe for upping their equity allocations, Mr. Rosenberg would like to remind them of what happened to buyers of the Nikkei 225 after Quantitative Easing was tried in Japan. Longs were treated to a 20% rally that lasted six weeks before stocks set new lows just four months later. Ultimately, predicts Rosenberg, QE helps bond buyers more than stock buyers.”
  • “But since I doubt dollar holders will sit idly by as the paper they hold shrinks in value, I see a quick and happy resolution as being a low probability event. Then again, other central banks (the BOE & SNB) are engaging in the same currency-busting policies, so it’s not altogether clear whether the world’s fiat currency system can survive a war of attrition.”
  • “We’ve arrived at this unfortunate juncture in our nation’s financial history because of reckless behavior in both New York and Washington D.C.
  • “Let us all hope the U.S. experiment with pushing the button on Quantitative Easing is more successful for us than it was for the Japanese. But given all the behavior that brought us to this point, we will need to be both lucky and good from this point forward.”
Hard to feel good about nearterm prospects for anything. Betting on volatility seems to be the smartest thing. Holding any asset seems risky.

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Scott Loftesness: The AIG Firestorm Spreads

“It’s time to let the sun shine in on this mess.” via Scott Loftesness: The AIG Firestorm Spreads.

Hear hear.

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Captain Asphalt

Quotation of the Day: “I’m Captain Asphalt.” TIMOTHY J. GILCHRIST, newly appointed stimulus czar for New York State.

via Today’s Paper – New York Times.

Love this. Is civil engineering going to become cool again?

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Interesting econ data via Ritzholtz

Force Structure FY09 Beyond. — the armed forces wrestling with massive budget cuts. And the global manufacturing collapse — not a pretty picture. It is hard to see how we are not going to have significant unemployment issues for years.

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Marginal Revolution: GM fact of the day

Marginal Revolution: GM fact of the day. Wow. Market cap 1/3 of bed bath and beyond. Worth 10% of apple’s cash. 96K employees but paying benefits for 1M people. Some of the numbers are a little misleading but still.

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Madoff Story Smells Funny | The Big Picture

Madoff Story Smells Funny | The Big Picture. The WSJ and NYTimes seem to be hinting at this today too, investigators seem to feel that the sheer amount of work required more than one person working on the fraud.  Fascinating.

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A SWOT Analysis On America

A SWOT Analysis On America. Don’t agree with many of the detailed points but the core idea of looking at our situation with a SWOT analysis is a good idea.  Too often as I read the papers these days, I don’t really understand the goals and strategies of some of our government actions.  A reasoned discussion with a clear decision framework would be nice.

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Damn the economic meltdown

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Nice summary of CDOs

The Big Picture | Modern Finance. — in case, like me, you need reminding on what these things are

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September Madness

Bracket up at techcrunch. Awesomeness. My money is on Berkshire Hathaway

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House Rejects Bailout Package, 228-205; Stocks Plunge

House Rejects Bailout Package, 228-205; Stocks Plunge – NYTimes.com — wow. going to get uglier. i think main street wants to see people going to jail, i don’t think constituents are going to turn around and support this until some of the folks who got incredibly wealthy are brought down.

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Harsh words for the government and wall street

The Big Picture | A Memo Found in the Street.  Icahn is harsh too and advocates clawbacks.  Gross willing to manage the assets for free so hopefully we don’t pay anyone a lot for this work.  The longer this thing runs out, the less sympathetic I am to the bailout.  And it appears Congress is not a pushover either so I guess that is good.

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The Innovator, the Imitator, the Idiot

From The Big Picture | The Innovator, the Imitator, the Idiot:

“Buffett once told me there are three ‘I’s in every cycle. The ‘innovator,’ that’s the first ‘I.’ After the innovator comes the ‘imitator.’ And after the imitator in the cycle comes the idiot.”

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Your social security benefits

I don’t think anyone in the family is confused about this but just in case — The Congressional Budget Office estimates that there is only a 7% probability that someone born in 2000 will receive their Social Security benefits as promised today.

From Marginal Revolution: The Return of the Zombie.

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Technology Review: Does the U.S. Need a CTO?

Technology Review: Does the U.S. Need a CTO?.  Interesting proposition.  What is the reason not to have one?  You can debate how active the CTO should be and how much the CTO should leave to market mechanisms, but wouldn’t it be reasonable to at least have someone leading the discussion of strategy?

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